Genius Sports Valuation

GENI Stock  USD 5.79  0.25  4.14%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Genius Sports retains a regular Real Value of $8.03 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $5.79. Our model calculates the value of Genius Sports from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 1.2 B, return on asset of -0.0781, and Return On Equity of -0.19 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Genius Sports' valuation include:
Price Book
1.913
Enterprise Value
1.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
152.6576
Price Sales
2.2864
Forward PE
56.1798
Undervalued
Today
5.79
Please note that Genius Sports' price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Genius Sports is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Genius Sports' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Genius Sports is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Genius Stock. However, Genius Sports' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  5.79 Real  8.03 Target  13.38 Hype  5.78
The intrinsic value of Genius Sports' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Genius Sports' stock price.
8.03
Real Value
12.69
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Genius Sports helps investors to forecast how Genius stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Genius Sports more accurately as focusing exclusively on Genius Sports' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
00.020.04
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.125.7810.44
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.1713.3814.85
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Genius Sports, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Genius Sports Cash

94.2 Million

Genius Sports Total Value Analysis

Genius Sports is currently estimated to have valuation of 1.2 B with market capitalization of 1.38 B, debt of 7.51 M, and cash on hands of 138.48 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Genius Sports fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.2 B
1.38 B
7.51 M
138.48 M

Genius Sports Investor Information

About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Genius Sports recorded a loss per share of 0.48. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Genius Sports' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Genius Sports is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.

Genius Sports Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Genius Sports has an asset utilization ratio of 64.49 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.64 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Genius Sports is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Genius Sports Profitability Analysis

Based on Genius Sports' profitability indicators, Genius Sports may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Genius Sports' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2018-12-31
Previous Quarter
-53.9 M
Current Value
-28.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
92.4 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of now, Genius Sports' Gross Profit is increasing as compared to previous years. The Genius Sports' current Gross Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.30, while Pretax Profit Margin is projected to decrease to (0.12).
For Genius Sports profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Genius Sports to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Genius Sports utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Genius Sports's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Genius Sports over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Genius Sports Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Genius Sports' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Genius Sports' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Genius Sports is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Genius Sports is projected to generate 0.024825 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Genius Sports earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Genius Sports EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Genius Sports' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Genius Sports, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Genius Sports Ownership Allocation

Genius Sports has a total of 238.72 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Genius Sports outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Genius Sports to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, third-party entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Genius Sports. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Genius Sports as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost four million six hundred fifty-five thousand three invesors are currently shorting Genius Sports expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Genius Sports Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 510.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 132.91 M.

About Genius Sports Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Genius Stock, attempts to find the value of Genius Sports based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Genius Sports's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Genius Sports's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Genius Sports. We calculate exposure to Genius Sports's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Genius Sports's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit148 M155.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.11)(0.12)
Operating Profit Margin(0.10)(0.11)
Net Loss(0.11)(0.12)
Gross Profit Margin 0.29  0.30 

Genius Sports Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding229.5 M
Forward Price Earnings56.1798

Genius Sports Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Genius Sports and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Genius we look at many different elements of the entity such as Genius's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Genius Sports, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Genius Sports' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Genius Sports' worth.

Complementary Tools for Genius Stock analysis

When running Genius Sports' price analysis, check to measure Genius Sports' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genius Sports is operating at the current time. Most of Genius Sports' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genius Sports' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genius Sports' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genius Sports to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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